Turnout factors



Today's survey of state polls is even better news for Kerry. Applying the incumbent rule, Arizona would go to Kerry, for a 332-206 win in the Electoral College, and Nevada is a mere 0.5 percentage point away.



Given the imprecision of polling I realize that adding and sorting this data to one-tenth of a point is pretty useless.

But I do think the list above roughly represents the order in which Kerry will add (or lose) states depending on his overall performance.

Posted: Wed - October 27, 2004 at 06:30 PM        


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